Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.184282 0.219647 0.259373 0.307216 0.363183 0.426489 0.503430
2025-04-06 0.129520 0.173901 0.229370 0.303426 0.399296 0.518766 0.678424
2025-04-13 0.099096 0.145659 0.208730 0.299651 0.426453 0.595965 0.838458
2025-04-20 0.083062 0.131551 0.201705 0.309329 0.468671 0.693919 1.033904
2025-04-27 0.075622 0.127634 0.207207 0.335837 0.536010 0.832351 1.299809
2025-05-04 0.066803 0.119586 0.204598 0.348752 0.583463 0.945707 1.540150
2025-05-11 0.056528 0.107091 0.192633 0.344441 0.602402 1.016399 1.721308
2025-05-18 0.046824 0.093712 0.176891 0.331081 0.603969 1.058426 1.859587
2025-05-25 0.038576 0.081423 0.160995 0.314795 0.597756 1.085800 1.974846
2025-06-01 0.034702 0.076779 0.158137 0.321262 0.631693 1.183647 2.217986
2025-06-08 0.029445 0.068398 0.146910 0.310349 0.632270 1.222570 2.360842
2025-06-15 0.026921 0.065295 0.145532 0.318165 0.668591 1.328641 2.633371
2025-06-22 0.024212 0.061508 0.142604 0.323309 0.701982 1.435671 2.924177
2025-06-29 0.021070 0.056171 0.135654 0.319284 0.716865 1.509743 3.161489
2025-07-06 0.018400 0.051420 0.129207 0.315321 0.731169 1.583759 3.405431
2025-07-13 0.017016 0.049607 0.129144 0.325469 0.776535 1.724198 3.794567
2025-07-20 0.016803 0.050810 0.136364 0.353259 0.863592 1.958285 4.395446
2025-07-27 0.015772 0.049600 0.137509 0.366797 0.920071 2.133205 4.888283
2025-08-03 0.013954 0.045807 0.131571 0.362278 0.934386 2.218858 5.198991
2025-08-10 0.011957 0.041062 0.122382 0.348274 0.924505 2.250211 5.394397
2025-08-17 0.010121 0.036387 0.112580 0.331201 0.904950 2.257595 5.536819
2025-08-24 0.009383 0.035040 0.111800 0.337981 0.945503 2.406536 6.012163
2025-08-31 0.008127 0.031694 0.104732 0.326538 0.938148 2.442357 6.229595